If the GOP takes a drubbing in the election, he may split to head the RNC. Lee Atwater is still ill and the beleaguered party requires full-time leadership.

Ed head has been in Bush’s doghouse from the start but may hold on; sacking a Hispanic could get messy. If his head does roll, say hello to former N.J. governor Tom Kean.

Frustrated by lack of attention from The Boss on domestic issues, he’s now interested in the U.S. trade rep’s post. But that’s filled–for the moment–by Carla Hills.

He’s recovering adequately from a ghastly start. But if he continues to stumble, Transportation chief Sam Skinner–a Bush favorite–could slide in nicely.